Tuesday 12 December, 2017

Chance of more storms as hurricane season winds down

Hurricane season officially ends on November 30 but don’t go disposing of your sandbags yet. Chances are the Caribbean might see some late season activity.

Weather Underground reports that there might be a 10 percent chance of a system developing in the region.

“The waters of the south-central Caribbean off the coast of Nicaragua is an area we will need to watch for development beginning next week. Waters there are plenty warm enough to support a hurricane (30°C, or 86°F), and the long-range GFS model has been predicting low pressures and reduced wind shear supportive of tropical cyclones over this region for next week,” the site said.

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The next named storm of the season, should one arise, will be Sean.

November hurricanes aren’t unusual.

The site recalls that last year, Category 3 Hurricane Otto formed in this region and hit Nicaragua on Thanksgiving Day—November 24.

Other late-season hurricanes include Kate which ran from November 20 to 21 in 1985 and Wrong-way Lenny which ran from November 17 to 18 in 1999.

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As was predicted, the 2017 hurricane season was an active one with 17 named storms. The season also featured the highest number of major hurricanes since 2005. Among the hurricanes to hit the region, Hurricane Irma was named the most devastating Caribbean storm ever wreaking destruction in Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, the US Virgin Islands, Anguilla, Puerto Rico, St Martin and Sint Maarten.