Saturday 14 December, 2019

Hurricane hunters find stronger winds, Tropical Storm Warning remains

Barbados currently lies in the orange band, but notice the red and purple bands of higher and faster wind speed possibilities from TS Kirk are nearing the island.  (SOURCE: US NHC)

Barbados currently lies in the orange band, but notice the red and purple bands of higher and faster wind speed possibilities from TS Kirk are nearing the island. (SOURCE: US NHC)

All may seem clear and sunny in some areas of Barbados, but citizens of the Lesser Antilles are being urged to stay on guard as hurricane hunters record higher wind speeds than first predicted.

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According to the United States National Hurricane Centre 11:00 am Advisory on Tropical Storm (TS) Kirk, increasing vertical shear is having a notable influence on the structure of Kirk, as visible satellite imagery shows that the low-level center of the cyclone is now exposed to the west of the main area of deep convection. Nonetheless, the Air Force Hurricane Hunters still found strong winds in that convection. In fact, based on Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer (SFMR) data and flight-level winds from the Hurricane Hunters, the advisory intensity of 45 knots or 52 mph may be a conservative estimate.

TS Kirk is nearing the Lesser Antilles

Location: Latitude 13.8 North, Longitude 59.3 West or about 45 miles or 70 km North-North-East of Barbados or about 130 miles or 210 km East-South-East of Martinique

Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH or 85 KM/H

Present Movement: West-North-West or 290 Degrees at 15 pmh or 24 km/h

Minimum Central Pressure: 999 mbar

 

Watches and Warnings in effect

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A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: 

1. Barbados

2. St. Lucia

3. Dominica

4. Martinique

5. Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:

1. St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Wind: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area this afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by this afternoon.

Rainfall: TS Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall of 4 to 6 inches across the northern Windward and the southern Leeward Islands with isolated maximum totals up to 10 inches across Martinique and Dominica. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Across eastern Puerto Rico, Kirk is expected to bring 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches by Friday and Saturday.

 

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