Tuesday 11 December, 2018

UPDATE: Warning remains in effect for Tropical Storm Kirk

UPDATE: Warning remains in effect for TS Kirk, Wednesday, September 26, 2018, 12:00 pm 

 

The Met Office has issued a noon update on Tropical Storm Kirk:

At 11:00 a.m TS “Kirk” was centered near 12.1N 54.3W or about 360 miles ... 575 km east of Barbados.

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating Kirk this morning has found the system to be a little stronger.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph…85km/h, with tropical-stormforce winds extending outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure was down to 1002mb…29.55inches.

The system continues to move towards the west at near 18 mph (30 km/h), and on this track, the center of Kirk is expected to pass about 50 miles to the north of Barbados between Thursday morning and Thursday afternoon. Sustained surface winds of between 25 to 35 mph (40 to 55 km/h) with gusts to storm force are expected to spread across Barbados starting later tonight and persisting into tomorrow.

In addition, pockets of moderate to heavy showers, periods of rain and scattered thunderstorms are expected. Rainfall accumulations of at least 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 millimetres) are possible between tonight and Friday morning. Some flash-flooding is likely in low-lying areas. Thus, residents are urged to be on the alert and take all necessary precautions.

Large easterly to south-easterly swells of 3.5 to 4.5 (11 to 15ft) are also forecast to accompany the system. These adverse sea-conditions are expected to persist into the weekend when northerly swells being generated by the remnants of Post-Tropical cyclone Leslie in the north-central Atlantic, propagate southwards across the Lesser Antilles.

Low-lying coastlines around the island will be particularly vulnerable at times of high tide. Large waves and dangerous rip-tides can be expected. These will create unsafe conditions for small-craft operators and fishermen. Sea-bathers and other users of the sea are also advised to stay out of the water. Thus, a High-Surf Advisory and Small-Craft Warning will be in effect from 6:00 a.m today, Wednesday, 26th September, 2018 until 6:00 a.m Monday, 1st October. A small-craft Warning means in this case that mean wind-speeds of 25 to 33 knots (47 to 62 km/h) and/or seas equal to or greater than 3m (10ft) will be affecting the marine area.

A High-Surf Advisory is issued when breaking wave action poses a threat to life and 2 property within the surf zone. An intermediate advisory will be 2:00 p.m and the next complete advisory at 5:00 p.m

 

 

ORIGINAL POST: Met Office issues severe weather warning, Tuesday, September 25, 2018, 7:52 pm 

Barbadians should prepare for potentially adverse weather late Wednesday into Thursday.

This as the Barbados Meteorological Services states that "an approaching tropical wave with axis now near 49/50°W and associated with the remnants of T. D Kirk, will begin to affect Barbados". 

It noted that the system is tracking westward at between 20 and 25 mph (32 to 40 km/h) and has been fluctuating in intensity and some re-development is possible as it approaches Barbados and the Windwards late tomorrow. 

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Persons should begin their preparations as the Met office may have to issue a Tropical Storm Watch or Warning for Barbados at late notice. 

High winds, heavy rain and thunderstorms are forecasted:

"Sustained surface winds of between 25 to 35 mph (40 to 55 km/h) with higher gusts are expected to spread across the island starting tomorrow night and persisting into Thursday. In addition, pockets of moderate to heavy showers, periods of rain and scattered thunderstorms are expected. Rainfall accumulations of at least 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 millimetres) are possible between Wednesday night and Friday morning. 

"Some flashflooding is likely in low-lying areas. Thus, residents are urged to be on the alert and take all necessary precautions. Large easterly/south-easterly swells of 3.5 to 4.5 (11 to 15 ft) are also forecast to accompany the system.

"These adverse sea-conditions are expected to persist into the weekend when northerly swells being generated by Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie in the northcentral Atlantic, propagate southwards across the Lesser Antilles. Large waves and dangerous rip-tides can be expected. These will create unsafe conditions for small-craft operators. Sea-bathers and other users of the sea are also advised to stay out of the water."

The Barbados Meteorological Services has therefore issued a High-Surf Advisory and Small-Craft Warning from 6:00 a.m tomorrow, to 6:00 a.m Monday, October 1st:

"A small-craft Warning means in this case that wind-speeds of 25 to 33 knots (47 to 62 km/h) and/or seas equal to or greater than 3m (10ft) will be affecting the marine area. A High-Surf Advisory is issued when breaking wave action poses a threat to life and property within the surf zone." 

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