Monday 28 September, 2020

TS Gonzalo Update: System weakens further but accelerates West

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is accelearting toward the Souther Windward Islands.

As of 11 am, TS Gonzalo maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. This is 10 mph drop from earlier.

The US National Hurricane Centre however continues to advise that there is considerable uncertainty in the intensity forecast, but some strengthening is still possible during the next day or so before Gonzalo reaches the southern Windward Islands.

Weakening is expected after Gonzalo moves into the Caribbean Sea, and the cyclone is expected to dissipate by the middle of next week.

Gonzalo is a small tropical cyclone.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

Gonzalo is expected to bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the islands on Saturday.

At 11 am AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 54.2 West.

Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward- to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days.

On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will approach the southern Windward Islands tonight and then move across the islands on Saturday and over the eastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

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