Sunday 29 November, 2020

TS Zeta gaining strength, forecast to become a hurricane in a day or 2

The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the Yucatan Peninsula from Tulum to Rio Lagartos, including Cozumel and the US National Hurricane Centre has advised that hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late Monday.

A Tropical Storm Warning continues for Pinar del Rio, Cuba. 

Tropical storm conditions are expected there by Monday morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

At 8am EDT, the centre of Tropical Storm Zeta was located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea about 290 miles (470 km) south-southeast of the western tip of Cuba and about 275 miles (445 km) southeast of Cozumel, Mexico. 

Zeta is nearly stationary, but a slow generally northwestward motion is expected later today. 

A turn toward the west-northwest and an increase in forwarding speed is forecast by Monday, followed by a faster northwestward motion on Tuesday. 

On the forecast track, the centre of Zeta will pass south of western Cuba early Monday and move near or over the northern Yucatan Peninsula or the Yucatan Channel late Monday, move into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and reach the central Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km), mainly southeast of the centre. Gradual strengthening is expected to take place during the next 48 to 72 hours, and Zeta is forecast to become a hurricane by late Monday or early Tuesday.

Zeta is forecast to approach the northern Gulf Coast as a tropical storm Tuesday night and Wednesday and could bring storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts to areas from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Zeta and updates to the forecast.

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